PRLB's near‑doubling (+91.9%) over the past 12 months, far outpacing the S&P's +68.3%, underscores a compelling rally that may attract momentum investors and suggests the market is pricing in sustained demand for its digital manufacturing services.
While the 3‑year CAGR of 32.2% is impressive, it masks underlying exposure to cyclical manufacturing demand; a 10% contraction in OEM orders could shave roughly 5% off annualized returns, emphasizing the need to monitor order book health and macroeconomic indicators.
The primary divergence risk is the concentrated institutional base; if the top three holders (collectively >60% of float) reduce exposure even by 5%, it would translate into roughly $150 million of sell pressure and could accelerate a downside swing given the stock's high beta.
The YoY revenue acceleration to 6.44%—more than double the three‑year CAGR—signals that Proto Labs is successfully leveraging its digital manufacturing platform to capture faster‑growing segments, bolstering the investment thesis of accelerating top‑line growth.
Operating margin is only 4.9%, meaning roughly $26 M of operating profit on a $533 M revenue base; any incremental cost pressure—such as higher labor rates or logistics inflation—could erode profitability quickly, potentially turning operating earnings negative if margins dip by just 1 percentage point.
Margin erosion—from 17.6% to 4.0%—is the dominant driver of ROE decline, underscoring a fundamental loss of operating profitability that outweighs any modest leverage increase or asset efficiency gains.
| Year | ROE% | Margin% | Turnover | Leverage | ROIC% | ROCE% | ROA% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 0.70 | 1.13 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 2024 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 0.67 | 1.11 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| 2023 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.65 | 1.11 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| 2022 | -14.8 | -21.2 | 0.61 | 1.15 | 3.9 | 3.7 | -12.9 |
| 2021 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 0.53 | 1.12 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| 2020 | 7.9 | 11.7 | 0.58 | 1.15 | 9.5 | 8.6 | 6.8 |
| 2019 | 10.9 | 13.9 | 0.68 | 1.15 | 13.1 | 12.8 | 9.4 |
| 2018 | 14.1 | 17.2 | 0.72 | 1.14 | 16.5 | 15.7 | 12.4 |
| 2017 | 11.2 | 15.0 | 0.67 | 1.12 | 16.5 | 15.2 | 10.0 |
| 2016 | 11.2 | 14.3 | 0.72 | 1.09 | 20.2 | 15.8 | 10.3 |
| 2015 | 14.2 | 17.6 | 0.73 | 1.10 | 24.9 | 20.1 | 12.9 |
The low ROIC of 3.9% versus an estimated weighted average cost of capital (~8-9%) quantifies a value‑destruction risk; without a turnaround in margins or a reallocation of capital toward higher‑return projects, the firm may continue to erode equity value.
| Year | Total Asset Days | Inventory Days | Receivables Days | Fixed Asset Days | Payables Days | Cash Conversion Cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 521 | 18 | 56 | 148 | 19 | 55 |
| 2024 | 542 | 16 | 51 | 168 | 20 | 46 |
| 2023 | 559 | 18 | 54 | 188 | 20 | 52 |
| 2022 | 599 | 18 | 60 | 209 | 23 | 55 |
| 2021 | 694 | 18 | 61 | 215 | 35 | 44 |
| 2020 | 625 | 18 | 49 | 248 | 31 | 37 |
| 2019 | 536 | 16 | 46 | 219 | 27 | 35 |
| 2018 | 507 | 18 | 53 | 187 | 31 | 40 |
| 2017 | 548 | 27 | 57 | 177 | 38 | 45 |
| 2016 | 507 | 26 | 42 | 171 | 32 | 37 |
| 2015 | 499 | 33 | 58 | 173 | 45 | 45 |
| Year | Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Total Equity | Total Debt | Net Debt | Cash | Current Assets | Current Liabilities |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $760M | $89M | $671M | $5M | $-106M | $111M | $234M | $67M |
| 2024 | $744M | $73M | $670M | $4M | $-86M | $89M | $195M | $53M |
| 2023 | $772M | $77M | $695M | $5M | $-78M | $84M | $201M | $50M |
| 2022 | $802M | $105M | $698M | $21M | $-35M | $57M | $187M | $72M |
| 2021 | $929M | $100M | $828M | $7M | $-58M | $66M | $183M | $55M |
| 2020 | $744M | $100M | $644M | $13M | $-114M | $128M | $242M | $50M |
| 2019 | $674M | $88M | $586M | $12M | $-113M | $125M | $236M | $48M |
| 2018 | $619M | $77M | $541M | $-85M | $85M | $215M | $53M | |
| 2017 | $517M | $56M | $461M | $5M | $-32M | $37M | $165M | $42M |
| 2016 | $414M | $34M | $380M | $-69M | $69M | $158M | $23M | |
| 2015 | $361M | $33M | $328M | $-48M | $48M | $138M | $26M |
| Year | Operating CF | Investing CF | Financing CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow | Buybacks | Dividends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $75M | $-13M | $-40M | $-15M | $60M | $-43M | |
| 2024 | $78M | $-14M | $-59M | $-9M | $69M | $-60M | |
| 2023 | $73M | $-5M | $-42M | $-28M | $45M | $-44M | |
| 2022 | $62M | $-43M | $-28M | $-22M | $40M | $-30M | |
| 2021 | $55M | $-95M | $-22M | $-34M | $21M | $-23M | |
| 2020 | $107M | $-95M | $-11M | $-47M | $60M | $-15M | |
| 2019 | $116M | $-44M | $-32M | $-62M | $54M | $-34M | |
| 2018 | $123M | $-63M | $-10M | $-87M | $36M | $-12M | |
| 2017 | $82M | $-124M | $9M | $-33M | $49M | $-4M | |
| 2016 | $75M | $-61M | $8M | $-34M | $41M | ||
| 2015 | $59M | $-64M | $10M | $-44M | $14M |
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The analysis is based on publicly available data from sources believed to be reliable, but Finexus does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Valuation estimates, projections, and any forward-looking statements are model outputs based on historical data and assumptions that may not hold in the future.
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Created 2026-06-07 · finexus.net