The 1‑year total return of +137.8% outpacing the S&P’s +121.1% underscores NVRI’s ability to generate compounding gains through both organic growth and strategic acquisitions, reinforcing its case as a high‑conviction growth play for long‑term portfolios.
The 5‑year annualized return is only +3.5%, which, while positive, is modest relative to the 3‑year outperformance; this slowdown could signal saturation in core markets or diminishing incremental returns from recent acquisitions, warranting close monitoring of future revenue growth rates.
Smart money’s optimism is tempered by the 30.7% volatility; a single adverse macro event could trigger rapid sell‑offs that outpace typical institutional risk controls, potentially leading to a short‑term price plunge of 10-15% on heightened market stress.
The key growth insight is the divergence between a positive 1.7% three‑year CAGR and the current -4.3% YoY decline, revealing that recent market headwinds have eroded momentum and that any forward‑looking forecasts must account for a likely turnaround period before the long‑term trend can reassert itself.
The most pressing margin risk is the negative net margin of -7.5%; at current cost structures, a further 2‑point decline in gross margin would push net earnings deeper into loss territory, potentially triggering covenant breaches and limiting access to cheap capital.
The key profitability red flag is the margin plunge to -7.5%, which alone drives the ROE into deep negative territory and signals that core operations are now loss‑making rather than merely capital‑structure constrained.
| Year | ROE% | Margin% | Turnover | Leverage | ROIC% | ROCE% | ROA% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -65.7 | -7.5 | 0.83 | 10.62 | 4.5 | 4.2 | -6.2 |
| 2024 | -31.1 | -5.5 | 0.88 | 6.44 | 1.6 | 1.5 | -4.8 |
| 2023 | -16.5 | -3.6 | 0.83 | 5.46 | 3.8 | 3.6 | -3.0 |
| 2022 | -31.6 | -8.4 | 0.76 | 4.90 | -4.9 | -4.6 | -6.5 |
| 2021 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 0.61 | 4.08 | 3.8 | 3.6 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | -4.0 | -1.7 | 0.51 | 4.55 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.9 |
| 2019 | 68.0 | 41.8 | 0.51 | 3.19 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 21.3 |
| 2018 | 51.1 | 8.0 | 1.05 | 6.09 | 16.6 | 15.7 | 8.4 |
| 2017 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 1.02 | 9.26 | 13.8 | 12.9 | 0.5 |
| 2016 | -89.0 | -5.9 | 0.92 | 16.42 | 6.0 | 5.5 | -5.4 |
| 2015 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.83 | 7.63 | 7.5 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
A pressing efficiency risk is the thin ROIC cushion: a 1% dip in operating performance would push ROIC below cost of capital, turning the business into a value destroyer and likely forcing dilutive financing to cover cash shortfalls.
| Year | Total Asset Days | Inventory Days | Receivables Days | Fixed Asset Days | Payables Days | Cash Conversion Cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 441 | 37 | 56 | 135 | 49 | 43 |
| 2024 | 413 | 35 | 56 | 118 | 41 | 50 |
| 2023 | 440 | 36 | 68 | 125 | 46 | 58 |
| 2022 | 477 | 17 | 50 | 130 | 42 | 24 |
| 2021 | 603 | 17 | 81 | 149 | 46 | 53 |
| 2020 | 712 | 18 | 92 | 172 | 48 | 62 |
| 2019 | 717 | 62 | 110 | 186 | 69 | 102 |
| 2018 | 346 | 38 | 55 | 100 | 35 | 57 |
| 2017 | 359 | 53 | 70 | 109 | 38 | 86 |
| 2016 | 398 | 59 | 65 | 123 | 34 | 90 |
| 2015 | 439 | 58 | 60 | 119 | 37 | 82 |
| Year | Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Total Equity | Total Debt | Net Debt | Cash | Current Assets | Current Liabilities |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2709M | $2413M | $255M | $1807M | $1703M | $104M | $721M | $634M |
| 2024 | $2650M | $2201M | $411M | $1576M | $1488M | $88M | $711M | $566M |
| 2023 | $2855M | $2279M | $523M | $1536M | $1412M | $125M | $827M | $655M |
| 2022 | $2791M | $2168M | $569M | $1458M | $1376M | $81M | $768M | $597M |
| 2021 | $3054M | $2248M | $748M | $1478M | $1395M | $83M | $875M | $601M |
| 2020 | $2993M | $2280M | $657M | $1382M | $1306M | $76M | $816M | $538M |
| 2019 | $2367M | $1578M | $742M | $831M | $774M | $57M | $653M | $465M |
| 2018 | $1633M | $1319M | $268M | $602M | $538M | $64M | $605M | $417M |
| 2017 | $1579M | $1364M | $170M | $587M | $525M | $62M | $592M | $474M |
| 2016 | $1581M | $1444M | $96M | $659M | $587M | $72M | $578M | $428M |
| 2015 | $2071M | $1761M | $272M | $911M | $831M | $80M | $665M | $506M |
| Year | Operating CF | Investing CF | Financing CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow | Buybacks | Dividends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $101M | $-150M | $80M | $-141M | $-40M | ||
| 2024 | $78M | $-34M | $-63M | $-138M | $-60M | ||
| 2023 | $114M | $-117M | $45M | $-140M | $-25M | ||
| 2022 | $151M | $-99M | $-43M | $-137M | $13M | ||
| 2021 | $72M | $-124M | $60M | $-159M | $-86M | ||
| 2020 | $54M | $-521M | $487M | $-120M | $-66M | $-4M | |
| 2019 | $-0M | $-132M | $126M | $-186M | $-186M | $-32M | |
| 2018 | $192M | $-161M | $-26M | $-132M | $60M | $-30M | |
| 2017 | $177M | $-103M | $-84M | $-98M | $79M | $-2M | |
| 2016 | $160M | $123M | $-292M | $-69M | $90M | $-0M | $-4M |
| 2015 | $122M | $-130M | $22M | $-124M | $-2M | $-12M | $-66M |
This report is generated by Finexus and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.
The analysis is based on publicly available data from sources believed to be reliable, but Finexus does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Valuation estimates, projections, and any forward-looking statements are model outputs based on historical data and assumptions that may not hold in the future.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decision. Finexus and its contributors disclaim any liability for losses arising from the use of this report.
Created 2026-07-31 · finexus.net