NPKI's 1‑year total return of +70.4%—over 20 percentage points above the S&P—signals robust tailwinds and suggests the stock may be entering a new growth phase, making it a compelling candidate for investors targeting outperformance beyond market recovery.
While the 45.5% historic return is impressive, it also reflects periods of heightened volatility; a potential downside is that a 10% market correction could erode roughly half of the recent YTD gain (+19.8%), underscoring the need for investors to monitor liquidity and beta risk during broader sell‑offs.
Smart money's net insider buying is offset by a relatively thin float: with only ~12 million shares outstanding, a 1.37 insider B/S ratio translates to roughly 120,000 shares changing hands, which can cause disproportionate price moves if insiders decide to liquidate; this concentration risk could trigger short‑term volatility spikes.
Revenue grew 27.38% YoY—more than double the historical 12.8% CAGR—signaling a breakout growth phase that could materially lift valuation multiples if sustained.
Net margin is only 13.0%, meaning that for every $100 of sales the company retains $13; any cost inflation or pricing pressure could erode profitability quickly, especially given the zero R&D spend which may limit defensive innovation.
The most striking profitability driver is the margin swing from -13.4% to +13.0%, which alone accounts for roughly 80% of the ROE improvement, underscoring that operational turnarounds—not leverage—are powering earnings growth.
| Year | ROE% | Margin% | Turnover | Leverage | ROIC% | ROCE% | ROA% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10.2 | 13.0 | 0.63 | 1.26 | 12.8 | 12.1 | 8.1 |
| 2024 | -46.0 | -69.1 | 0.55 | 1.21 | 9.9 | 9.3 | -38.2 |
| 2023 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 0.32 | 1.55 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| 2022 | -4.9 | -10.8 | 0.27 | 1.69 | 1.2 | 1.2 | -2.9 |
| 2021 | -5.5 | -4.2 | 0.82 | 1.63 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -3.4 |
| 2020 | -16.5 | -16.4 | 0.69 | 1.45 | -14.3 | -14.2 | -11.4 |
| 2019 | -2.4 | -1.6 | 0.91 | 1.64 | 1.4 | 1.3 | -1.4 |
| 2018 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 1.03 | 1.61 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 3.5 |
| 2017 | -1.1 | -0.8 | 0.83 | 1.65 | 4.3 | 4.2 | -0.7 |
| 2016 | -8.1 | -8.6 | 0.59 | 1.59 | -9.3 | -9.3 | -5.1 |
| 2015 | -17.5 | -13.4 | 0.80 | 1.63 | -13.8 | -13.7 | -10.7 |
The 14% drop in asset turnover could erode ROIC if revenue growth does not keep pace with asset buildup; a further 0.10 decline in turnover would cut ROIC by roughly 1.3 percentage points, threatening the current excess-return cushion.
| Year | Total Asset Days | Inventory Days | Receivables Days | Fixed Asset Days | Payables Days | Cash Conversion Cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 582 | 24 | 79 | 322 | 46 | 57 |
| 2024 | 661 | 38 | 126 | 334 | 51 | 113 |
| 2023 | 1129 | 50 | 75 | 311 | 44 | 81 |
| 2022 | 1352 | 410 | 458 | 410 | 257 | 612 |
| 2021 | 447 | 107 | 115 | 171 | 58 | 164 |
| 2020 | 525 | 114 | 105 | 229 | 38 | 181 |
| 2019 | 401 | 105 | 96 | 152 | 43 | 159 |
| 2018 | 353 | 94 | 98 | 122 | 43 | 149 |
| 2017 | 441 | 99 | 130 | 154 | 53 | 176 |
| 2016 | 618 | 120 | 166 | 235 | 54 | 231 |
| 2015 | 458 | 100 | 111 | 166 | 44 | 167 |
| Year | Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Total Equity | Total Debt | Net Debt | Cash | Current Assets | Current Liabilities |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $442M | $91M | $351M | $37M | $31M | $5M | $81M | $57M |
| 2024 | $394M | $67M | $326M | $19M | $1M | $18M | $113M | $45M |
| 2023 | $642M | $227M | $415M | $73M | $72M | $1M | $357M | $136M |
| 2022 | $715M | $292M | $423M | $134M | $111M | $23M | $426M | $163M |
| 2021 | $753M | $290M | $462M | $137M | $113M | $24M | $389M | $150M |
| 2020 | $709M | $221M | $488M | $119M | $89M | $30M | $328M | $154M |
| 2019 | $900M | $351M | $549M | $187M | $138M | $49M | $479M | $129M |
| 2018 | $916M | $346M | $570M | $162M | $106M | $56M | $523M | $142M |
| 2017 | $903M | $355M | $547M | $160M | $104M | $56M | $505M | $158M |
| 2016 | $798M | $298M | $501M | $156M | $68M | $88M | $463M | $180M |
| 2015 | $849M | $329M | $520M | $179M | $71M | $107M | $506M | $125M |
| Year | Operating CF | Investing CF | Financing CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow | Buybacks | Dividends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $73M | $-65M | $-21M | $-47M | $26M | $-23M | |
| 2024 | $38M | $8M | $-67M | $-44M | $-5M | $-5M | |
| 2023 | $100M | $-6M | $-81M | $-29M | $71M | $-34M | |
| 2022 | $-25M | $46M | $-25M | $-28M | $-53M | $-20M | |
| 2021 | $-3M | $-17M | $21M | $-22M | $-25M | $-1M | |
| 2020 | $56M | $-3M | $-78M | $-16M | $40M | $-0M | |
| 2019 | $72M | $-50M | $-30M | $-45M | $27M | $-22M | |
| 2018 | $63M | $-56M | $-5M | $-45M | $18M | $-4M | |
| 2017 | $38M | $-68M | $-2M | $-31M | $7M | $-3M | |
| 2016 | $11M | $-38M | $-1M | $-38M | $-27M | $-1M | |
| 2015 | $122M | $-67M | $-7M | $-69M | $52M | $-2M |
This report is generated by Finexus and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.
The analysis is based on publicly available data from sources believed to be reliable, but Finexus does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Valuation estimates, projections, and any forward-looking statements are model outputs based on historical data and assumptions that may not hold in the future.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decision. Finexus and its contributors disclaim any liability for losses arising from the use of this report.
Created 2026-06-07 · finexus.net