LTC's 4.9% YTD gain against a 3% market decline is the standout; it signals that investors are rewarding its stable cash‑flow profile and dividend yield even as risk assets falter, reinforcing its appeal as a defensive play in volatile environments.
The primary risk lies in interest‑rate sensitivity: LTC's 12%+ dividend yield is attractive but could be pressured if yields rise sharply, potentially compressing cap rates and triggering price volatility; a 200 basis‑point increase in Treasury yields could depress the stock by an estimated 8-10%, eroding its long‑term outperformance.
The relatively low RSI combined with a modest insider buying net of only 22 shares signals limited conviction; if institutional inflows stall, the stock could face downward pressure, especially given its high volatility and thin upside cushion.
Revenue acceleration to 25% YoY—well above the historical 14.5% CAGR—signals that LTC’s recent portfolio expansion is translating into immediate top‑line impact, bolstering confidence in its growth runway and dividend sustainability.
The net margin of 44.9% could be vulnerable to rising interest rates; a 200 basis‑point increase in borrowing costs would compress net margin by roughly 2–3%, potentially pressuring dividend payout ratios if not offset by further revenue growth.
The most striking profitability signal is the 9‑point margin contraction while asset turnover rose, suggesting that growth in top‑line revenue is being outpaced by cost inflation, which could pressure cash flow if not mitigated.
| Year | ROE% | Margin% | Turnover | Leverage | ROIC% | ROCE% | ROA% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11.0 | 44.9 | 0.13 | 1.92 | 10.2 | 6.3 | 5.7 |
| 2024 | 9.5 | 43.4 | 0.12 | 1.86 | 14.5 | 5.8 | 5.1 |
| 2023 | 10.2 | 45.5 | 0.11 | 2.11 | 18.1 | 6.0 | 4.8 |
| 2022 | 12.1 | 57.1 | 0.11 | 2.00 | 17.2 | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| 2021 | 7.6 | 36.0 | 0.10 | 2.04 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| 2020 | 12.4 | 59.8 | 0.11 | 1.90 | 8.3 | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| 2019 | 10.4 | 43.5 | 0.12 | 1.95 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| 2018 | 18.8 | 91.9 | 0.11 | 1.83 | 10.3 | 10.2 | |
| 2017 | 11.6 | 52.0 | 0.11 | 1.94 | 6.0 | 6.0 | |
| 2016 | 11.5 | 52.7 | 0.12 | 1.88 | 6.2 | 6.1 | |
| 2015 | 11.1 | 53.7 | 0.11 | 1.93 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
The CCC approaching 100 days signals that a growing portion of cash is locked in operating cycles; if rent collections slow or operating expenses rise faster than revenue, free cash flow could be squeezed, threatening the ability to maintain the 10.2% ROIC.
| Year | Total Asset Days | Inventory Days | Receivables Days | Fixed Asset Days | Payables Days | Cash Conversion Cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2863 | 0 | 96 | 1669 | 0 | 96 |
| 2024 | 3107 | 19 | 1397 | 0 | 1416 | |
| 2023 | 3433 | 506 | 1499 | 0 | 2005 | |
| 2022 | 3451 | 252 | 1237 | 0 | 1490 | |
| 2021 | 3536 | 0 | 1032 | 0 | 1032 | |
| 2020 | 3343 | 0 | 56 | 2526 | 0 | 56 |
| 2019 | 2983 | 0 | 90 | 2187 | 0 | 90 |
| 2018 | 3276 | 0 | 160 | 2387 | 0 | 160 |
| 2017 | 3183 | 0 | 140 | 2350 | 0 | 140 |
| 2016 | 3151 | 0 | 125 | 2317 | 0 | 125 |
| 2015 | 3418 | 0 | 114 | 2538 | 0 | 114 |
| Year | Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Total Equity | Total Debt | Net Debt | Cash | Current Assets | Current Liabilities |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2062M | $900M | $1075M | $845M | $830M | $14M | $84M | $52M |
| 2024 | $1786M | $733M | $961M | $685M | $675M | $9M | $828M | $193M |
| 2023 | $1855M | $939M | $881M | $891M | $871M | $20M | $846M | $350M |
| 2022 | $1656M | $806M | $828M | $768M | $757M | $10M | $615M | $38M |
| 2021 | $1505M | $760M | $737M | $723M | $718M | $5M | $448M | $37M |
| 2020 | $1459M | $684M | $767M | $649M | $642M | $8M | $79M | $34M |
| 2019 | $1514M | $729M | $777M | $693M | $689M | $4M | $121M | $35M |
| 2018 | $1514M | $681M | $825M | $645M | $642M | $3M | $363M | $36M |
| 2017 | $1466M | $707M | $755M | $668M | $662M | $5M | $353M | $39M |
| 2016 | $1395M | $655M | $740M | $609M | $601M | $8M | $342M | $45M |
| 2015 | $1275M | $616M | $659M | $572M | $559M | $13M | $301M | $44M |
| Year | Operating CF | Investing CF | Financing CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow | Buybacks | Dividends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $136M | $-270M | $139M | $136M | $-5M | $-107M | |
| 2024 | $125M | $91M | $-227M | $125M | $-101M | ||
| 2023 | $104M | $-175M | $80M | $104M | $-95M | ||
| 2022 | $106M | $-120M | $20M | $-9M | $97M | $-92M | |
| 2021 | $91M | $-70M | $-24M | $91M | $-4M | $-90M | |
| 2020 | $116M | $44M | $-157M | $-0M | $116M | $-18M | $-90M |
| 2019 | $122M | $-77M | $-45M | $-3M | $119M | ||
| 2018 | $116M | $-4M | $-112M | $-1M | $114M | $-90M | |
| 2017 | $105M | $-92M | $-16M | $-1M | $104M | $-90M | |
| 2016 | $106M | $-140M | $29M | $-1M | $104M | $-85M | |
| 2015 | $102M | $-327M | $212M | $-1M | $102M | $-77M |
This report is generated by Finexus and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.
The analysis is based on publicly available data from sources believed to be reliable, but Finexus does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Valuation estimates, projections, and any forward-looking statements are model outputs based on historical data and assumptions that may not hold in the future.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decision. Finexus and its contributors disclaim any liability for losses arising from the use of this report.
Created 2026-06-07 · finexus.net