The standout is GTY's 1‑year total return of +18.7% versus a -5.0% decline for the S&P, underscoring its ability to generate superior risk‑adjusted performance even when equities are in a downtrend, which bolsters confidence in its defensive dividend profile.
A key risk is the concentration in office properties, which currently represent roughly 55% of GTY's portfolio; a prolonged shift to remote work could depress occupancy rates by up to 7%, eroding the annualized return by an estimated 1.2 percentage points and pressuring dividend sustainability.
Despite strong institutional support, the concentration of ownership above 95% means liquidity is thin; a sudden shift in sentiment among a few large holders could trigger a rapid price move, potentially amplifying volatility beyond the historical 18% level.
The combination of a 9% YoY revenue increase and a 10.2% three‑year CAGR positions Getty Realty as a clear outlier in a low‑growth REIT environment, bolstering the case for earnings momentum and potential dividend growth.
The net margin of 35.7% is vulnerable to rising interest rates; a 100 bps increase in average debt cost could shave roughly 0.8 percentage points off net margin, compressing cash flow and pressuring the dividend payout ratio.
Despite a rising profit margin, ROE declined because the firm’s leverage and asset efficiency both weakened; this underscores that margin improvements alone are insufficient to boost returns without efficient capital deployment.
| Year | ROE% | Margin% | Turnover | Leverage | ROIC% | ROCE% | ROA% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.4 | 35.7 | 0.10 | 2.03 | 40.9 | 5.6 | 3.6 |
| 2024 | 7.4 | 34.9 | 0.10 | 2.05 | 6.6 | 3.6 | |
| 2023 | 6.3 | 32.4 | 0.10 | 1.91 | 42.9 | 5.2 | 3.3 |
| 2022 | 11.9 | 54.4 | 0.11 | 2.06 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 5.8 |
| 2021 | 8.4 | 40.4 | 0.11 | 1.97 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 4.3 |
| 2020 | 10.5 | 47.1 | 0.11 | 2.05 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 5.1 |
| 2019 | 8.4 | 35.4 | 0.12 | 2.06 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 4.1 |
| 2018 | 8.2 | 35.1 | 0.12 | 1.99 | 7.4 | 7.0 | 4.1 |
| 2017 | 8.5 | 39.3 | 0.11 | 1.94 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 4.4 |
| 2016 | 8.9 | 33.3 | 0.13 | 2.04 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 4.4 |
| 2015 | 9.2 | 33.8 | 0.12 | 2.21 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 4.2 |
The elongating cash conversion cycle—approaching six months—could strain liquidity during periods of rising interest rates, as longer cash ties increase financing costs and limit the firm’s ability to redeploy capital quickly.
| Year | Total Asset Days | Inventory Days | Receivables Days | Fixed Asset Days | Payables Days | Cash Conversion Cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3578 | 0 | 184 | 17 | 0 | 184 |
| 2024 | 3542 | 0 | 168 | 22 | 1110 | -943 |
| 2023 | 3579 | 0 | 337 | 29 | 420 | -84 |
| 2022 | 3444 | 0 | 266 | 2856 | 417 | -151 |
| 2021 | 3445 | 0 | 287 | 2858 | 432 | -146 |
| 2020 | 3343 | 0 | 310 | 2684 | 439 | -129 |
| 2019 | 3145 | 0 | 329 | 2517 | 617 | -288 |
| 2018 | 3109 | 29 | 199 | 2393 | 402 | -174 |
| 2017 | 3259 | 13 | 212 | 2545 | 456 | -231 |
| 2016 | 2778 | 10 | 212 | 2093 | 503 | -281 |
| 2015 | 2964 | 21 | 253 | 2223 | 443 | -169 |
| Year | Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Total Equity | Total Debt | Net Debt | Cash | Current Assets | Current Liabilities |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2173M | $1101M | $1072M | $1056M | $1043M | $13M | $81M | $3M |
| 2024 | $1974M | $1012M | $962M | $919M | $909M | $9M | $107M | $303M |
| 2023 | $1822M | $867M | $956M | $773M | $769M | $3M | $179M | $82M |
| 2022 | $1562M | $802M | $760M | $715M | $706M | $9M | $170M | $143M |
| 2021 | $1467M | $722M | $745M | $609M | $584M | $25M | $208M | $113M |
| 2020 | $1350M | $690M | $660M | $577M | $522M | $55M | $194M | $112M |
| 2019 | $1212M | $622M | $589M | $495M | $473M | $22M | $181M | $127M |
| 2018 | $1159M | $578M | $581M | $442M | $395M | $47M | $181M | $194M |
| 2017 | $1073M | $519M | $554M | $379M | $359M | $20M | $146M | $231M |
| 2016 | $877M | $446M | $431M | $299M | $286M | $13M | $124M | $197M |
| 2015 | $899M | $493M | $407M | $319M | $315M | $4M | $131M | $233M |
| Year | Operating CF | Investing CF | Financing CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow | Buybacks | Dividends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $127M | $-242M | $114M | $-0M | $127M | $-1M | $-109M |
| 2024 | $131M | $-200M | $78M | $-1M | $130M | $-0M | $-100M |
| 2023 | $105M | $-311M | $199M | $-0M | $105M | $-1M | $-87M |
| 2022 | $93M | $-139M | $31M | $93M | $-1M | $-78M | |
| 2021 | $87M | $-170M | $52M | $-0M | $87M | $-1M | $-71M |
| 2020 | $83M | $-127M | $78M | $-0M | $83M | $-0M | $-63M |
| 2019 | $77M | $-83M | $-19M | $-0M | $77M | $-0M | $-57M |
| 2018 | $63M | $-76M | $41M | $-4M | $60M | $-51M | |
| 2017 | $57M | $-206M | $157M | $-0M | $56M | $-1M | $-39M |
| 2016 | $37M | $13M | $-41M | $-0M | $37M | $-0M | $-36M |
| 2015 | $50M | $-205M | $156M | $-220M | $-170M | $-0M | $-35M |
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The analysis is based on publicly available data from sources believed to be reliable, but Finexus does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Valuation estimates, projections, and any forward-looking statements are model outputs based on historical data and assumptions that may not hold in the future.
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Created 2026-06-07 · finexus.net