The most striking recent finding is AMWD's +6.2% one‑month gain versus the market's modest +1.4% rise, signaling that short‑term catalysts—such as a new contract win or favorable inventory data—are already being priced in, offering a potential entry point for momentum‑seeking investors.
A key risk is the cumulative five‑year loss of 12.5%, which, if not offset by continued cost controls or margin expansion, could erode investor confidence; a sustained decline in residential construction activity would exacerbate this risk, potentially pushing annual returns deeper into negative territory.
The overbought RSI (71) coupled with the recent 3.58% institutional inflow may mask an impending short‑term pullback; a correction of just 5-7% could trigger stop‑losses for leveraged positions, eroding the current smart‑money advantage.
The concurrent drop in both revenue (-7.5%) and EPS ($6.50) underscores a earnings quality issue: the company is not offsetting top‑line weakness with cost efficiencies, raising concerns about its ability to sustain profitability without a strategic turnaround.
The net margin of 5.8% equates to only $98 m of profit on a $1.7 bn revenue base; a further 2‑point compression would cut earnings by roughly $34 m, jeopardizing debt covenants and limiting cash flow for capital expenditures.
Despite an improved operating margin, AMWD's ROE fell by 4.5 percentage points because revenue generation per asset slipped dramatically, underscoring that sustainable return creation hinges on reviving asset efficiency.
| Year | ROE% | Margin% | Turnover | Leverage | ROIC% | ROCE% | ROA% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10.9 | 5.8 | 1.09 | 1.71 | 10.6 | 10.1 | 6.3 |
| 2024 | 12.8 | 6.3 | 1.16 | 1.75 | 11.8 | 11.5 | 7.3 |
| 2023 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 1.36 | 1.74 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 6.2 |
| 2022 | -3.8 | -1.6 | 1.14 | 2.11 | 2.6 | 2.6 | -1.8 |
| 2021 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 1.05 | 2.19 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 3.7 |
| 2020 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.02 | 2.32 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 4.5 |
| 2019 | 13.5 | 5.1 | 1.08 | 2.47 | 10.5 | 10.3 | 5.5 |
| 2018 | 10.9 | 5.1 | 0.76 | 2.83 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 3.8 |
| 2017 | 20.2 | 6.9 | 2.06 | 1.42 | 31.3 | 27.1 | 14.2 |
| 2016 | 20.9 | 6.2 | 2.03 | 1.66 | 30.1 | 24.9 | 12.6 |
| 2015 | 15.4 | 4.3 | 2.07 | 1.74 | 19.4 | 17.4 | 8.9 |
The 58‑day CCC represents a capital lock-up of roughly $150 million (based on average daily sales), posing a risk that any slowdown in collections or inventory turnover could erode cash flow and pressure margins.
| Year | Total Asset Days | Inventory Days | Receivables Days | Fixed Asset Days | Payables Days | Cash Conversion Cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 335 | 46 | 24 | 80 | 13 | 58 |
| 2024 | 315 | 40 | 26 | 79 | 16 | 50 |
| 2023 | 268 | 41 | 21 | 56 | 14 | 48 |
| 2022 | 321 | 51 | 31 | 63 | 25 | 57 |
| 2021 | 346 | 41 | 31 | 68 | 23 | 48 |
| 2020 | 359 | 31 | 24 | 73 | 16 | 39 |
| 2019 | 339 | 30 | 28 | 46 | 17 | 41 |
| 2018 | 480 | 38 | 47 | 64 | 26 | 60 |
| 2017 | 178 | 19 | 22 | 38 | 19 | 23 |
| 2016 | 180 | 19 | 22 | 38 | 17 | 24 |
| 2015 | 176 | 20 | 20 | 38 | 19 | 21 |
| Year | Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Total Equity | Total Debt | Net Debt | Cash | Current Assets | Current Liabilities |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1571M | $655M | $916M | $510M | $462M | $48M | $364M | $183M |
| 2024 | $1594M | $683M | $910M | $508M | $421M | $87M | $403M | $196M |
| 2023 | $1519M | $645M | $874M | $478M | $436M | $42M | $368M | $178M |
| 2022 | $1632M | $860M | $773M | $626M | $604M | $22M | $429M | $216M |
| 2021 | $1654M | $898M | $756M | $640M | $548M | $91M | $410M | $220M |
| 2020 | $1623M | $922M | $701M | $728M | $631M | $97M | $325M | $156M |
| 2019 | $1530M | $910M | $620M | $691M | $634M | $58M | $306M | $150M |
| 2018 | $1645M | $1064M | $582M | $814M | $736M | $78M | $364M | $170M |
| 2017 | $501M | $149M | $352M | $17M | $-160M | $177M | $339M | $101M |
| 2016 | $467M | $186M | $281M | $24M | $-151M | $174M | $302M | $92M |
| 2015 | $399M | $169M | $230M | $23M | $-127M | $150M | $281M | $85M |
| Year | Operating CF | Investing CF | Financing CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow | Buybacks | Dividends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $108M | $-43M | $-105M | $-43M | $66M | $-28M | |
| 2024 | $231M | $-92M | $-93M | $-91M | $140M | $-88M | |
| 2023 | $197M | $-43M | $-134M | $-43M | $154M | $-1M | |
| 2022 | $24M | $-52M | $-42M | $-44M | $-20M | $-25M | |
| 2021 | $152M | $-42M | $-115M | $-36M | $116M | $-20M | |
| 2020 | $178M | $-39M | $-99M | $-32M | $146M | ||
| 2019 | $191M | $-38M | $-174M | $-32M | $159M | $-50M | |
| 2018 | $87M | $-44M | $-141M | $-48M | $39M | $-29M | |
| 2017 | $77M | $-54M | $-21M | $-22M | $55M | $-13M | |
| 2016 | $72M | $-41M | $-9M | $-29M | $43M | $-17M | |
| 2015 | $59M | $-57M | $12M | $-20M | $39M | $-5M |
This report is generated by Finexus and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.
The analysis is based on publicly available data from sources believed to be reliable, but Finexus does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Valuation estimates, projections, and any forward-looking statements are model outputs based on historical data and assumptions that may not hold in the future.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decision. Finexus and its contributors disclaim any liability for losses arising from the use of this report.
Created 2026-06-07 · finexus.net