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Applied Digital Plunges 6% as Nvidia Exit and $2.15B Debt Load Sour Investor Sentiment

Applied Digital Corp (APLD) shares tumbled 6.10% to $25.07 on Friday, significantly underperforming a broader market retreat. The sharp decline follows the recent disclosure that AI giant Nvidia has fully exited its investment in the company, leaving investors to grapple with Applied Digital's aggressive $2.15 billion debt-funded expansion strategy amidst rising macroeconomic volatility.

APLD

Nvidia Divestiture Rattles AI Infrastructure Thesis

The primary weight on Applied Digital today is the continued digestion of news that Nvidia has liquidated its entire $177 million stake in the company. While Nvidia remains a key partner through its hardware supply to Applied Digital’s tenants, the total exit of its equity position has removed a significant 'stamp of approval' that previously supported the stock's premium valuation.

This divestiture comes at a critical juncture for Applied Digital, which is currently undergoing a massive capital structure shift. The stock's high beta of 7.20 has made it particularly vulnerable to today's 1.82% drop in the S&P 500, as high-leverage growth names are the first to be sold during sessions dominated by macro uncertainty.

Debt Strain and Execution Risk

Investors are also reassessing the company's financial health following the recent pricing of $2.15 billion in senior secured notes due 2031. While these funds are earmarked for the construction of the 200-megawatt Polaris Forge 2 AI Factory in North Dakota—anchored by a lucrative 15-year lease with Oracle—the sheer scale of the debt has pushed the company's projected Debt-to-EBITDA ratio to a staggering 8x.

With Brent crude prices surging above $100 per barrel due to the ongoing US-Iran conflict and Treasury yields remaining elevated, the cost of capital and energy for high-density data centers is under intense scrutiny. Short interest in APLD remains exceptionally high at approximately 33% of the float, suggesting that a significant portion of the market is betting against the company's ability to bridge the gap between its current negative free cash flow and its $16 billion contracted revenue backlog.

Upcoming Catalysts and Sector Context

Today's move also reflects positioning ahead of the company's fiscal third-quarter earnings call, which management officially scheduled for April 8, 2026. Traders are wary of potential margin compression, as previous reports showed gross margins of 13%, missing analyst estimates of 19% due to elevated facility fit-out costs.

While peers like Dell Technologies continue to see strong demand for AI servers, Applied Digital's transition from a legacy crypto-hosting firm to a pure-play AI infrastructure provider remains fraught with execution risks. The planned spinoff of its cloud computing business, intended to streamline operations, adds another layer of complexity that investors appear hesitant to price in during a risk-off market environment.

Key Takeaways