CNH Industrial Reaffirms 2026 Outlook Amid Flat Q1 Revenue and Slumping Net Income
CNH Industrial (CNH) posted a flat‑line first‑quarter revenue of $3.83 billion but saw GAAP net income tumble to $10 million, prompting the company to double‑down on its 2026 guidance for agriculture and construction margins while navigating a weak North American equipment market.
CNH Industrial’s Q1 2026 results underscore a challenging backdrop for its core agricultural and construction businesses, yet the firm kept its full‑year outlook intact.
Consolidated revenues held steady at $3.83 billion year‑over‑year, but GAAP net income plunged 92% to $10 million, translating to a diluted EPS of just $0.01. Adjusted net income fell to $21 million from $132 million a year earlier, reflecting the steep drop in operating profitability. The company generated $35 million of cash from operations, but industrial activities absorbed $589 million in free‑cash‑flow, leaving the free‑cash‑flow target for 2026 at the low end of its $150‑$350 million range.
Segment performance: - Agriculture delivered $2.596 billion in net sales, essentially flat YoY, but adjusted EBIT slid to $27 million (1.0% margin), an 81% decline from the prior year. Volume weakness was most pronounced in North America and Brazil, where trade‑related headwinds and currency pressures persisted. - Construction posted $574 million in net sales, down 3% YoY, and posted an adjusted EBIT loss of $28 million (‑4.9% margin). - Financial Services generated $646 million in revenue, down 1% YoY, with net income of $74 million, down 18%. Retail loan originations fell $241 million to $2.152 billion, and past‑due receivables rose to 3.5% from 2.3%.
Despite the earnings dip, CNH reaffirmed its 2026 targets: agriculture net‑sales are expected to decline between 5% and flat (including a +2% currency boost) with adjusted EBIT margins of 4.5%‑5.5%; construction sales are projected to be flat with margins of 1.0%‑2.0%; and adjusted diluted EPS is slated at $0.35‑$0.45.
Management highlighted historically low demand for North American agricultural equipment, a “complex trade environment,” and Brazil’s macro challenges, but expressed confidence that the company’s product mix and cost‑discipline position it for a market rebound later in the year.
The market reacted positively, with CNH shares up 7.4% in after‑hours trading, lifting the stock to $10.82 and keeping it near the lower end of its 52‑week range. Analysts note that while the short‑term earnings shock is stark, the firm’s commitment to its margin guidance may provide a clearer runway for investors amid a broadly volatile industrial sector.
The filing, accession number 0001567094-26-000009, was released on April 30, 2026.
Financial Details
| Consolidated Revenues $M | $3,826 |
| Net Sales of Industrial Activities $M | $3,170 |
| GAAP Net Income $M | 10 |
| GAAP Diluted EPS $ | 0.01 |
| Adjusted Net Income $M | 21 |
| Cash Flow From Operating Activities $M | 35 |
| Free Cash Flow Absorption of Industrial Activities $M | 589 |
| Income Tax Expense $M | 4 |
| Effective Tax Rate % | 30.8% |
| Adjusted Effective Tax Rate % | 20.0% |
| Adjusted EBIT of Industrial Activities $M | -45 |
| Adjusted EBIT Margin % | -1.4% |
| Agriculture Net Sales $M | $2,596 |
| Agriculture Adjusted EBIT $M | 27 |
| Agriculture Adjusted EBIT Margin % | 1.0% |
| Construction Net Sales $M | 574 |
| Construction Adjusted EBIT $M | -28 |
| Construction Adjusted EBIT Margin % | -4.9% |
| Financial Services Revenues $M | 646 |
| Financial Services Net Income $M | 74 |
| Financial Services Equity $M | $2,925 |
| Financial Services Retail Loan Originations $M | $2,152 |
| Receivables Over 30 Days % | 3.50 |
| 2026 Outlook Agriculture Net Sales Growth % | -5% |
| 2026 Outlook Agriculture Adjusted EBIT Margin Range % | 4.5-5.5 |
| 2026 Outlook Construction Net Sales Growth % | 0% |
| 2026 Outlook Construction Adjusted EBIT Margin Range % | 1.0-2.0 |
| 2026 Outlook Free Cash Flow Range $M | 150-350 |
| 2026 Outlook Adjusted Diluted EPS Range $ | 0.35-0.45 |
Key Takeaways
- Q1 2026 revenue flat at $3.83 billion; GAAP net income down 92% to $10 million.
- Agriculture sales steady but EBIT margin collapsed to 1.0%; construction posted a $28 million EBIT loss.
- CNH reaffirmed 2026 guidance: agriculture EBIT margin 4.5%‑5.5%, construction margin 1.0%‑2.0%, EPS $0.35‑$0.45.
- Shares rose 7.4% to $10.82 after the filing, despite earnings weakness.
- Management cites low North American demand, trade complexities, and Brazil challenges but remains confident in a recovery.